Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Tierney 47.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 86.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.2%
Neutral zone
Point 63.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Point
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Point
Tierney
Last 6: Point 5-1 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
0
Point
Tierney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
46.6% (193)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
66.7% (3)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.5% (40)
+2.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Point
Tierney
Home
53.3% (394)
47.9% (121)
Away
48.4% (428)
46.1% (115)
By Period
Point
Tierney
P1
49.8%
44.1%
P2
53.0%
50.0%
P3
49.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |