Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Tierney 49.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Point leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 73.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 77.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 54.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Point
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Point
Tierney
Last 10: Point 7-3 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
10
0
Point
Tierney
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
3
Point
Tierney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
6
Point
Tierney
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
49.3% (5,342)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
52.3% (342)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.6% (857)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Home / Away
Point
Tierney
Home
49.1% (3,733)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Point
Tierney
P1
46.8%
49.3%
P2
51.4%
47.7%
P3
48.0%
50.5%
OT
52.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |