Brayden Point vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs McMichael 43.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 58.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 84.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 60.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Point
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Point
McMichael
Last 6: Point 2-4 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Point
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
McMichael
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Point
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
42.4% (399)
+3.8%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
49.1% (55)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.6% (96)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Point
McMichael
Home
46.9% (243)
43.0% (298)
Away
46.4% (302)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Point
McMichael
P1
46.2%
46.5%
P2
45.9%
41.1%
P3
48.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |