Brayden Point vs Connor McMichael
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs McMichael 43.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 71.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 83.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 75.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Point
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Point
McMichael
Last 10: Point 3-7 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
2
Point
McMichael
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
McMichael
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
4
Point
McMichael
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
43.1% (1,574)
+5.2%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
46.0% (139)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
38.3% (167)
+0.2%
On power play, Point has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
Home / Away
Point
McMichael
Home
49.1% (3,733)
42.6% (976)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
43.3% (904)
By Period
Point
McMichael
P1
46.8%
43.3%
P2
51.4%
43.2%
P3
48.0%
41.9%
OT
52.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Brayden Point |