Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Grant 54.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 84.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 56.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Point
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Point
Grant
Last 9: Point 4-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Point
Grant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
2
Point
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
56.5% (308)
-6.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
65.3% (49)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.5% (136)
+1.5%
On power play, Grant has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Point
Grant
Home
53.3% (394)
60.3% (257)
Away
48.4% (428)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Point
Grant
P1
49.8%
54.7%
P2
53.0%
54.0%
P3
49.6%
57.1%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |