Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Grant 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Point leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 81.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 82.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 55.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Point
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
18
(40 meetings)
22
18
Point
Grant
Last 10: Point 5-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
13
2
Point
Grant
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
10
Point
Grant
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
7
6
Point
Grant
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
53.7% (2,864)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
61.7% (175)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.0% (922)
-7.5%
On power play, Grant has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Point
Grant
Home
49.1% (3,733)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Point
Grant
P1
46.8%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
51.5%
P3
48.0%
54.3%
OT
52.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Brayden Point |