Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 78.6%
Defensive zone
Point 70.8%
Neutral zone
Point 69.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Point
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
21
(35 meetings)
14
21
Point
Carter
Last 10: Point 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
8
6
Point
Carter
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
10
Point
Carter
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
5
Point
Carter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
53.3% (8,728)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
57.3% (1,554)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.3% (1,087)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Point is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,071).
Point shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Point
Carter
Home
49.1% (3,733)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Point
Carter
P1
46.8%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
48.0%
53.1%
OT
52.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |