Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Carter 60.1% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 65.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Point
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Point
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
65.6% (262)
-19.7%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
68.3% (63)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.5% (99)
-30.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Point
Carter
Home
45.8% (286)
64.3% (207)
Away
45.5% (358)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Point
Carter
P1
45.9%
65.3%
P2
48.8%
60.1%
P3
40.6%
63.8%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |