Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Carter 58.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 83.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Point
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Point
Carter
Last 10: Point 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Point
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
59.7% (727)
-9.8%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
68.1% (72)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
53.2% (139)
-3.2%
On power play, Carter has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Point
Carter
Home
53.3% (394)
58.7% (455)
Away
48.4% (428)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Point
Carter
P1
49.8%
61.3%
P2
53.0%
57.1%
P3
49.6%
59.8%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |