Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 59.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.5%
Neutral zone
Point 51.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Point
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Point
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Point
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
52.5% (570)
-4.2%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
54.5% (145)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.4% (36)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Point is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Point shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Point
Pavelski
Home
47.5% (356)
55.0% (391)
Away
54.6% (361)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Point
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
54.5%
55.0%
P3
48.9%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |