Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Drouin 45.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 69.1%
Defensive zone
Drouin 50.1%
Neutral zone
Point 71.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Point
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Drouin
Last 5: Point 3-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Drouin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
45.1% (355)
+4.8%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
40.9% (22)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Point
Drouin
Home
53.3% (394)
37.5% (160)
Away
48.4% (428)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Point
Drouin
P1
49.8%
40.3%
P2
53.0%
43.3%
P3
49.6%
49.6%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |