Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Drouin 49.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 54.0%
Defensive zone
Drouin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Point 54.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Point
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Point
Drouin
Last 6: Point 3-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Drouin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
3
Point
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
47.5% (181)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
56.8% (44)
-7.3%
On power play, Drouin has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Point
Drouin
Home
46.9% (243)
49.5% (97)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Point
Drouin
P1
46.2%
52.1%
P2
45.9%
51.5%
P3
48.9%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |