Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 75.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.3%
Neutral zone
Point 52.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Point
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Point
Staal
Last 10: Point 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
6
Point
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
56.1% (955)
-9.9%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
66.9% (142)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
43.0% (242)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Point
Staal
Home
46.9% (243)
55.4% (663)
Away
46.4% (302)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Point
Staal
P1
46.2%
55.1%
P2
45.9%
54.7%
P3
48.9%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |