Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Staal 54.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 79.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.0%
Neutral zone
Point 55.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Point
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Point
Staal
Last 10: Point 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
3
Point
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
6
Point
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
57.0% (1,017)
-9.2%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
57.7% (26)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
45.1% (286)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Point
Staal
Home
49.7% (471)
54.3% (667)
Away
47.2% (415)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Point
Staal
P1
46.6%
56.2%
P2
51.7%
57.0%
P3
46.5%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |