Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 56-38 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 85.0%
Defensive zone
Point 68.9%
Neutral zone
Point 77.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Point
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
56
(94 meetings)
38
56
Point
Staal
Last 10: Point 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
21
18
Point
Staal
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
27
Point
Staal
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
13
11
Point
Staal
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
55.9% (14,620)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
48.0% (2,896)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Point
Staal
Home
49.1% (3,733)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Point
Staal
P1
46.8%
55.2%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
48.0%
54.9%
OT
52.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |