Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Point leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 73.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 94.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 64.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Point
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Point
Kastelic
Last 10: Point 6-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Point
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
58.0% (476)
-8.1%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
75.0% (8)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.9% (106)
-0.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Point
Kastelic
Home
53.3% (394)
64.9% (265)
Away
48.4% (428)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Point
Kastelic
P1
49.8%
58.5%
P2
53.0%
55.6%
P3
49.6%
56.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Brayden Point |