Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 88.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 65.9%
Neutral zone
Point 64.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Point
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Point
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Point
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
55.4% (345)
-7.6%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
50.0% (4)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
35.3% (17)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Point has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Point is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Point shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Point
Kastelic
Home
49.7% (471)
50.6% (162)
Away
47.2% (415)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Point
Kastelic
P1
46.6%
61.5%
P2
51.7%
52.8%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |