Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 50.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 54.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Point
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Point
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Point
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
47.8% (960)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
47.0% (219)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Point
Scheifele
Home
53.3% (394)
50.7% (611)
Away
48.4% (428)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Point
Scheifele
P1
49.8%
51.4%
P2
53.0%
47.3%
P3
49.6%
45.0%
OT
44.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |