Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.0%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 51.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Point
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Point
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Point
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
46.5% (878)
-0.3%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
48.3% (174)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (54)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Point
Scheifele
Home
46.9% (243)
46.2% (571)
Away
46.4% (302)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Point
Scheifele
P1
46.2%
51.9%
P2
45.9%
45.6%
P3
48.9%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |