Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 90.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.9%
Neutral zone
Point 56.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Point
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
49.4% (867)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
56.0% (25)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
40.7% (216)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Point
Bjugstad
Home
53.3% (394)
46.5% (480)
Away
48.4% (428)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Point
Bjugstad
P1
49.8%
48.7%
P2
53.0%
45.6%
P3
49.6%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brayden Point |