Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Point leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 71.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.0%
Neutral zone
Point 55.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Point
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Point
Bjugstad
Last 10: Point 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
6
3
Point
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
48.6% (6,566)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
55.2% (828)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
44.1% (612)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,040).
Point shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,311).
Home / Away
Point
Bjugstad
Home
49.0% (3,671)
50.0% (3,981)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
48.0% (4,025)
By Period
Point
Bjugstad
P1
46.9%
49.1%
P2
51.2%
49.0%
P3
48.1%
48.4%
OT
52.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |