Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Foligno 49.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 57.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 84.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Point
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Point
Foligno
Last 6: Point 5-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
49.0% (261)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
57.1% (42)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.1% (51)
-27.1%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Point
Foligno
Home
46.9% (243)
48.9% (178)
Away
46.4% (302)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Point
Foligno
P1
46.2%
40.4%
P2
45.9%
55.8%
P3
48.9%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |