Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 70.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 70.6%
Neutral zone
Point 53.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Point
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
48.7% (495)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
56.9% (65)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
43.8% (144)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Point has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Point
Foligno
Home
49.7% (471)
49.6% (359)
Away
47.2% (415)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Point
Foligno
P1
46.6%
46.7%
P2
51.7%
52.7%
P3
46.5%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Brayden Point |