Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Foligno 52.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.3%
Neutral zone
Point 54.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Point
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
53.4% (249)
-7.5%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
53.2% (154)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.6% (32)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Point
Foligno
Home
45.8% (286)
57.3% (225)
Away
45.5% (358)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Point
Foligno
P1
45.9%
53.0%
P2
48.8%
51.8%
P3
40.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Brayden Point |