Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 63.7%
Defensive zone
Point 72.9%
Neutral zone
Point 63.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Point
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Point
Zacha
Last 10: Point 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Point
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Point
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Point
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
53.9% (787)
-8.0%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
63.2% (193)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.3% (88)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Point
Zacha
Home
45.8% (286)
56.7% (538)
Away
45.5% (358)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Point
Zacha
P1
45.9%
52.6%
P2
48.8%
54.8%
P3
40.6%
56.8%
OT
62.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
40.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |