Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Zacha 52.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Point leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Point
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Point
Zacha
Last 10: Point 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Point
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
54.1% (534)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
56.0% (109)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
44.8% (96)
+26.6%
On penalty kill, Point has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Point
Zacha
Home
49.7% (471)
53.4% (406)
Away
47.2% (415)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Point
Zacha
P1
46.6%
56.8%
P2
51.7%
53.6%
P3
46.5%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |