Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.1%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Poehling 47.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 80.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 84.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 60.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Point
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Point
Poehling
Last 7: Point 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Point
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
49.8% (626)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
58.3% (12)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
38.2% (207)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Point
Poehling
Home
46.9% (243)
47.3% (404)
Away
46.4% (302)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Point
Poehling
P1
46.2%
53.5%
P2
45.9%
39.4%
P3
48.9%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |