Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.1%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Poehling 48.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 75.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Point
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Point
Poehling
Last 10: Point 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
6
Point
Poehling
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
5
Point
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Point
Poehling
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
49.4% (2,726)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
51.6% (93)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
41.6% (623)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Point
Poehling
Home
49.1% (3,733)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Point
Poehling
P1
46.8%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
47.0%
P3
48.0%
46.9%
OT
52.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |