Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 74.7%
Defensive zone
Point 55.6%
Neutral zone
Point 59.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Point
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Point
Monahan
Last 10: Point 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Point
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Point
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Point
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
52.4% (853)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
58.6% (174)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
46.5% (144)
+24.9%
On penalty kill, Point has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Point
Monahan
Home
49.7% (471)
53.4% (624)
Away
47.2% (415)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Point
Monahan
P1
46.6%
53.7%
P2
51.7%
52.4%
P3
46.5%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |