Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 39-32 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 60.9%
Defensive zone
Point 57.6%
Neutral zone
Point 59.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Point
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
39
(71 meetings)
32
39
Point
Monahan
Last 10: Point 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
14
Point
Monahan
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
11
Point
Monahan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
17
14
Point
Monahan
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
51.1% (11,356)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
53.7% (2,580)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.0% (766)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Point
Monahan
Home
49.1% (3,733)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Point
Monahan
P1
46.8%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
48.0%
51.0%
OT
52.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |