Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Nazar 45.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 89.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 80.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Schenn
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Schenn
Nazar
Last 8: Schenn 6-2 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Nazar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Nazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
45.2% (314)
+7.0%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
39.5% (38)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
44.8% (29)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nazar
Home
51.1% (575)
43.4% (196)
Away
53.4% (607)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Schenn
Nazar
P1
51.4%
47.3%
P2
52.7%
40.3%
P3
52.7%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |