Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Nazar 46.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 81.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 81.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 87.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Schenn
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
Nazar
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
46.9% (533)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
49.2% (132)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
25.6% (39)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nazar
Home
54.0% (367)
45.0% (329)
Away
53.3% (375)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Schenn
Nazar
P1
48.6%
47.2%
P2
52.0%
43.1%
P3
59.0%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |