Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs McBain 44.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 80.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 52.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Schenn
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
McBain
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Schenn
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
45.3% (675)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
50.0% (16)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
37.6% (149)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Schenn
McBain
Home
46.8% (494)
45.5% (437)
Away
46.3% (520)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Schenn
McBain
P1
50.3%
43.5%
P2
47.0%
44.0%
P3
42.2%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |