Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs McBain 50.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Schenn
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
McBain
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
52.1% (545)
-0.9%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
57.1% (14)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
37.0% (46)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Schenn
McBain
Home
54.0% (367)
52.2% (289)
Away
53.3% (375)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Schenn
McBain
P1
48.6%
52.6%
P2
52.0%
53.6%
P3
59.0%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |