Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 85.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 83.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Schenn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
19
(46 meetings)
27
19
Schenn
Pavelski
Last 10: Schenn 8-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
12
5
Schenn
Pavelski
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
9
6
Schenn
Pavelski
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
8
Schenn
Pavelski
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
53.6% (8,791)
-5.6%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
58.2% (2,122)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
50.9% (1,138)
-2.4%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Schenn
Pavelski
Home
49.7% (5,030)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Schenn
Pavelski
P1
48.7%
53.5%
P2
48.6%
55.2%
P3
48.3%
53.9%
OT
50.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | OT | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 29, 2020 | OT | 01:24 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |