Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 50.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 67.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Schenn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schenn
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
52.5% (570)
-3.8%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
54.5% (145)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
44.4% (36)
-4.4%
On power play, Schenn has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Schenn
Pavelski
Home
49.0% (286)
55.0% (391)
Away
49.1% (293)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Schenn
Pavelski
P1
47.7%
50.8%
P2
48.7%
55.0%
P3
51.4%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |