Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 67.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Schenn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Schenn
Pavelski
Last 10: Schenn 8-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
3
Schenn
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
51.5% (594)
-3.9%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
51.7% (87)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
28.6% (14)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Schenn
Pavelski
Home
55.6% (453)
53.1% (339)
Away
43.3% (467)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Schenn
Pavelski
P1
48.4%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
47.8%
P3
50.8%
50.2%
OT
22.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | OT | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |