Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Norris 53.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 57.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 68.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Schenn
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Schenn
Norris
Last 7: Schenn 4-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
53.6% (560)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
56.0% (109)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
53.1% (98)
+4.3%
On power play, Norris has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Schenn
Norris
Home
51.1% (575)
53.6% (373)
Away
53.4% (607)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Schenn
Norris
P1
51.4%
61.8%
P2
52.7%
51.7%
P3
52.7%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |