Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Norris 52.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 63.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 59.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 61.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Schenn
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Schenn
Norris
Last 10: Schenn 2-8 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
4
Schenn
Norris
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
7
Schenn
Norris
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
3
Schenn
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
52.5% (3,057)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
53.7% (404)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
45.4% (240)
+3.1%
On even strength, Norris has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Schenn
Norris
Home
49.7% (5,030)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Schenn
Norris
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
48.6%
51.4%
P3
48.3%
50.1%
OT
50.9%
40.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |