Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.6%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 78.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 58.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Schenn
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Schenn
Suzuki
Last 9: Schenn 8-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
52.4% (981)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
50.7% (304)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
36.4% (33)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Schenn
Suzuki
Home
51.1% (575)
53.2% (645)
Away
53.4% (607)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Schenn
Suzuki
P1
51.4%
48.9%
P2
52.7%
51.5%
P3
52.7%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |