Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 29-14 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 71.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 68.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 70.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Schenn
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
14
(43 meetings)
29
14
Schenn
Suzuki
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
7
4
Schenn
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
16
4
Schenn
Suzuki
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Schenn
Suzuki
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
49.4% (6,327)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
50.7% (1,338)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
43.6% (456)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Schenn
Suzuki
Home
49.7% (5,030)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Schenn
Suzuki
P1
48.7%
48.8%
P2
48.6%
49.1%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
50.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |