Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 66.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 76.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 67.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Schenn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schenn
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Schenn
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Schenn
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
59.2% (370)
-10.5%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
40.9% (44)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
51.7% (58)
-11.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stastny
Home
49.0% (286)
57.7% (215)
Away
49.1% (293)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Schenn
Stastny
P1
47.7%
57.7%
P2
48.7%
54.2%
P3
51.4%
57.7%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |