Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Stastny 56.3% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Schenn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Schenn
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
57.5% (412)
-11.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
60.0% (65)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
44.4% (9)
+1.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stastny
Home
46.8% (494)
58.3% (276)
Away
46.3% (520)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Schenn
Stastny
P1
50.3%
63.7%
P2
47.0%
57.3%
P3
42.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |