Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Zacha 46.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Schenn
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Schenn
Zacha
Last 7: Schenn 3-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Schenn
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
45.3% (247)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
58.1% (31)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
22.2% (18)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Schenn
Zacha
Home
46.8% (494)
39.7% (131)
Away
46.3% (520)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Schenn
Zacha
P1
50.3%
42.9%
P2
47.0%
46.4%
P3
42.2%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 04:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 02:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |