Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.1%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Zacha 49.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 54.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Schenn
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Schenn
Zacha
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
3
Schenn
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
6
5
Schenn
Zacha
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
6
Schenn
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
48.9% (5,102)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
55.6% (804)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
42.2% (555)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Schenn
Zacha
Home
49.7% (5,030)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Schenn
Zacha
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
48.6%
49.2%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
50.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 04:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 02:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |