Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Steel 48.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 61.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 68.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Schenn
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Schenn
Steel
Last 8: Schenn 5-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
49.5% (553)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
61.3% (31)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
30.6% (49)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Schenn
Steel
Home
46.8% (494)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.3% (520)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Schenn
Steel
P1
50.3%
52.1%
P2
47.0%
49.8%
P3
42.2%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |