Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 53.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Schenn
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
18
(39 meetings)
21
18
Schenn
Steel
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Schenn
Steel
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
7
6
Schenn
Steel
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
8
6
Schenn
Steel
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
50.6% (2,876)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
62.6% (179)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
37.4% (254)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Schenn
Steel
Home
49.7% (5,030)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Schenn
Steel
P1
48.7%
51.9%
P2
48.6%
49.5%
P3
48.3%
49.6%
OT
50.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Sam Steel |