Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.4%). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Schenn
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Kuraly
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Schenn
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
52.3% (982)
-3.6%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
41.9% (43)
+28.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
39.2% (245)
+0.8%
On power play, Schenn has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (286)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.1% (293)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Schenn
Kuraly
P1
47.7%
49.5%
P2
48.7%
49.6%
P3
51.4%
49.0%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |