Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Schenn
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Schenn
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
55.3% (515)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
55.6% (9)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
44.8% (58)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kuraly
Home
51.1% (575)
57.3% (293)
Away
53.4% (607)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Schenn
Kuraly
P1
51.4%
53.8%
P2
52.7%
51.5%
P3
52.7%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |