Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 64.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Schenn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schenn
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Schenn
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
56.1% (342)
-4.9%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
53.3% (92)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
62.5% (8)
+10.2%
On power play, Schenn has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stamkos
Home
54.0% (367)
53.4% (208)
Away
53.3% (375)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Schenn
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
55.6%
P2
52.0%
52.8%
P3
59.0%
59.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |